
Polymarket
Leading global prediction market, with a CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange and ICE (NYSE parent) as strategic shareholder.
Who they are & what they do
Company overview chevron_right
Polymarket is one of the two leading prediction-market venues globally, alongside Kalshi. Users trade binary event contracts on politics, sports, macroeconomics, crypto and culture, and the prices act as real-time implied probabilities. Settlement runs in USDC on the Polygon blockchain. The platform moved from a zero-fee model to taker fees during 2026, charging no maker fees and funding maker rebates from taker revenue. Sacra estimates annualized revenue reached about $1B by June 2026. Monthly volume peaked at $10.5B in March 2026, and sports is now the largest category at roughly 40% of volume. Beyond trading, Polymarket is building an information-infrastructure business. ICE distributes its Signals and Sentiment data product to institutional clients, and its pricing data is embedded in X, Google Finance and Yahoo Finance.
The company has re-entered the U.S. market under federal oversight. It acquired QCEX for $112M in July 2025 to obtain CFTC exchange and clearing licenses, and a November 2025 amended designation enabled intermediated U.S. access through brokerages and FCMs. ICE invested $1.0B in Series D preferred in October 2025 and a further $600M in Series E in March 2026. Over the same period the valuation rose from about $1.2B in early 2025 to $15B in April 2026, and then to a $21B post-money valuation in the current round led by 1789 Capital. This places Polymarket just below Kalshi, which raised a $1B Series F at $22B in May. Key considerations for investors are continued pushback from sports leagues and state officials over event contracts, a still-unresolved federal-versus-state jurisdictional question, and market-integrity scrutiny, including a Columbia University study estimating that wash trading averaged about 25% of activity over three years
Key investors
United StatespublicWebsite: polymarket.com
Why look at this deal
Highlights
- 01ICE-Backed
- 02CFTC-Regulated
- 03Category Leader
- 04$1B Run-rate
- 05Below-Round Entry
Deal snapshot
Pre-IPO investment risks
Standard notice applying to all pre-IPO deals. This platform only publishes information about the opportunity: each deal is managed by a regulated, licensed investment firm or bank in the relevant jurisdictions.
- Illiquidity. There is no regulated market: the ability to sell depends on secondary-market demand.
- Price not guaranteed. The last published price is not an official market price and can vary between transactions.
- Uncertain valuation. Based on private rounds and limited transactions, not on audited public financial statements.
- No IPO guarantee. The listing may be delayed or never happen; the liquidity horizon is undetermined.
- Lock-up. If the company lists, selling restrictions of 90–180 days or longer may apply.
- Limited information. Private companies have reduced disclosure obligations and not-always-audited data.
- Dilution. Subsequent rounds can dilute existing positions, even significantly.
- Transfer restrictions. Rights of first refusal (ROFR) and corporate consents can delay or prevent settlement.
Data room
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