Yes Still Leading in Polls, but No is Trending on Social Media

The latest report by the Human Data platform, which combines artificial intelligence and opinion polling to map conversations and trends on social media, provides a clear and encouraging picture for those supporting the Yes vote in the March 22–23 justice referendum: although the debate is intensifying, the favorable option remains ahead in voting intentions and aims to consolidate this lead in the coming days.

According to the data collected, the Yes maintains around 53% of preferences among Italians, compared to 47% for the No, with participation remaining solid and public discussion still open and dynamic. This advantage, although slightly reduced compared to last month, indicates broad and stable support among the more engaged segments of the electorate.

The online debate, which has generated over 49 million interactions between supporters and opponents, shows that those backing the Yes are bringing substantive arguments to the forefront regarding the modernization and balance of the judicial system. Among these are the separation of judicial careers, the impartiality of judges, stronger protections for defendants, and enhanced accountability for magistrates—elements supported by a broad segment of the civic and legal community.

Moreover, the steady approval ratings of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, in whom Italians continue to express confidence, could prove to be a decisive factor in giving further momentum to the Yes campaign. The report emphasizes that a “clear and decisive entry into the field” by leadership figures in favor of the reform could help mobilize undecided voters and secure a clear victory.

This picture emerges at a time when public debate has intensified, yet the favorable position remains solid and rooted precisely in an analysis of the concrete aspects of the proposed reform. This suggests that it is not merely a case of polarization, but rather a Yes driven by perceived needs for modernization and efficiency in the justice system—issues that affect citizens’ daily lives and the quality of institutions.

With just over a month until the vote and the Yes camp still ahead, referendum day appears to be an important opportunity to confirm the will to reform and improve the Italian judicial system. For those who believe in transparent, efficient, and balanced public action, voting Yes can truly make a difference.

Klevis Gjoka