Nikkei closes Near 8 month low amid tariff escalation

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Japan's Nikkei 225 index experienced significant declines on Monday, closing near an eight-month low as investor sentiment deteriorated sharply amid mounting fears of forthcoming U.S. tariffs. Following substantial losses on Wall Street during the previous trading session, market participants adopted a pronounced risk-off stance ahead of President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, scheduled for April 2.

The Nikkei index declined by 4.05%, closing at 35,617.56, marking its lowest point since August 6 and representing the steepest daily drop since September 30. Concurrently, the broader Topix index also fell sharply, shedding 3.57% to settle at 2,658.73. This pronounced downturn reflects heightened investor anxiety over reciprocal tariffs proposed by the U.S. administration, aimed at addressing perceived trade imbalances with major global economies.

Market sentiment, already fragile, further deteriorated as President Trump reaffirmed that reciprocal tariffs would target all countries, rather than a limited group. The intensified trade stance has already seen the imposition of duties on aluminum, steel, autos, and comprehensive tariffs targeting Chinese imports. Hiroyuki Ueno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management, indicated investors adopted defensive strategies, liquidating holdings amid uncertainty, though noting that clarity around tariffs could trigger renewed buying activity.

Japan’s stock market was broadly affected, with notable declines across all sectors. Major losses were observed in technology and financial shares, reflecting fears of disrupted supply chains and broader economic repercussions. Chip-related stocks, including Tokyo Electron and Advantest, suffered particularly heavy losses, declining 6.57% and 7.65%, respectively. Renesas Electronics experienced a severe drop, plunging by 11.21%.

Financial stocks also retreated significantly, with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group down by 4.62% and 3.58%, respectively. Auto manufacturers were similarly impacted; Toyota Motor and Honda Motor recorded declines of 3.13% and 3.97%, respectively, underscoring concerns around export disruptions and higher operational costs arising from intensified tariffs.

Volatility metrics reflected the increasing uncertainty, as the Nikkei volatility index surged by 5.8 points to 28.15, its largest single-day increase since September 4. Across the Nikkei's 225 constituents, only Nitori Holdings managed a positive performance, rising by 2.28%, highlighting its relative resilience amid the broad market downturn.

Overall, investors are closely monitoring developments related to the forthcoming U.S. tariff announcement. The clarity provided by this policy decision will likely dictate market sentiment and determine short-term investment strategies in the face of global economic uncertainty.