European defense stocks lead gains as Ukraine tensions drive military

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STOXX 600 Extends Rally as Defense Stocks Surge
European equities continued their winning streak, with the STOXX 600 rising 0.2%, marking its longest stretch of weekly gains since March 2024. The rally was driven by defense stocks, as geopolitical tensions fueled calls for increased military spending. The European aerospace and defense sector jumped 2.5%, led by: BAE Systems (BA.) +5.1%; Hensoldt (HAG) +7.1%; Renk (R3NK) +11.2%; Rheinmetall (RHM) +10.7%. The catalyst? French President Emmanuel Macron announced an emergency summit on Ukraine, following U.S. discussions suggesting that Europe would not play a central role in potential peace talks. This uncertainty is bolstering defense sector momentum, as European governments may accelerate arms spending amid shifting security dynamics.

Market Awaits Key Economic and Political Triggers
U.S. markets are closed today for Presidents’ Day, which may reduce trading volumes in Europe. The Eurozone’s February PMI data (due Friday) will provide insight into economic conditions, especially in Germany, where industrial weakness has been a major concern. Germany’s snap national election on February 23 is also on investors’ radar, as political shifts in Europe’s largest economy could impact fiscal and military spending priorities.

Outlook: Can Defense Stocks Extend Gains?
The defense rally could gain further traction if geopolitical risks remain high, but much depends on the trajectory of U.S.-Russia talks and the European response.