Oli prices drop as China retaliates, Trump escalates pressure on Iran

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Oil markets remain under pressure despite US President Donald Trump’s renewed maximum pressure campaign on Iran, aimed at reducing Tehran’s oil exports to zero. The initial price spike following the announcement was short-lived, as China’s retaliatory tariffs on US energy imports dampened bullish sentiment.

Oil Prices Edge Lower Despite Geopolitical Tensions
Brent crude is currently trading at $75.80 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hovers near $72.40 per barrel, both retreating after an earlier rally driven by Trump’s remarks on Iran and Gaza. Trump confirmed he will push to eliminate Iranian oil exports, saying: "With me, it's very simple: Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon." His Gaza Strip proposal—suggesting that the US take control of the territory and oversee its economic development—added a new geopolitical dimension to the ongoing Middle East tensions.

China’s Tariff Response Offsets Oil Market Gains
Oil prices spiked briefly following Trump’s announcement but were quickly dragged lower after China imposed a 10% tariff on US crude oil imports in retaliation for Washington’s tariffs on Chinese goods. Market reaction suggests that trade war risks outweigh geopolitical supply disruptions, at least for now.

Supply, Demand & Market Outlook
With OPEC+ reaffirming its plan to increase production in April, the market faces a balancing act between: Trump’s Iran policy, which could tighten global oil supply China’s tariffs, which could reduce demand for US crude exports OPEC+ supply adjustments, impacting global inventory levels For now, WTI and Brent remain under pressure, with traders watching for further tariff developments and Middle East tensions. The next key catalyst? Potential US-Iranian responses and any new sanctions measures.