Gold price pulls back from one-week high as usd buying resumes

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Gold prices (XAU/USD) trade near $2,620 on Tuesday, retreating slightly from a one-week high amid renewed US Dollar (USD) dip-buying. Geopolitical tensions continue to drive safe-haven demand for Gold, but reduced expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts and a risk-on mood in global equities cap further gains.

Geopolitical risks support gold, but fed expectations limit upside
Geopolitical tensions remain a key driver for Gold, with haven flows fueled by ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. US President Joe Biden's authorization for Ukraine to use long-range missiles against Russia added to Monday’s bullish momentum, helping Gold sustain a second consecutive day of gains.

However, reduced bets on aggressive Fed rate cuts act as a headwind. Investors expect President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary fiscal policies, including lower taxes and higher tariffs, to stoke inflation and limit the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy. Elevated US Treasury yields and a broadly resilient USD further constrain the yellow metal’s upside.

Technical outlook: key levels to watch

Resistance Levels:
Gold faces immediate resistance near $2,634-2,635, coinciding with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A sustained break above this could pave the way for a rally toward $2,655-2,657 and ultimately to the $2,664-2,665 zone.
Support Levels:
The $2,600 mark aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci level and acts as key immediate support. A break below this level could expose the $2,569-2,568 region, followed by the 100-day SMA near $2,550. Further declines could test last week’s swing low of $2,536, with a fall toward the $2,500 psychological mark signaling increased bearish momentum.

Gold prices remain supported by geopolitical risks, but headwinds from a strong USD and elevated US Treasury yields limit upward momentum. Traders should watch the $2,600 support and $2,635 resistance levels for directional cues, while Fed commentary and US economic data later this week could provide additional clarity on the metal’s outlook.