Bitcoin Hits Record High at $76K Post-Trump Win, Eyes on Fed Rate Deci

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Bitcoin soared to a new all-time high of $76,000 following Donald Trump’s presidential victory, reflecting increased market optimism for crypto-friendly policies. Analysts anticipate a 0.25% Fed rate cut this week, which historically boosts assets like Bitcoin by lowering the dollar’s value. Traders are closely watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments for further cues.

Trump's Victory Sends Bitcoin to New Heights Amid Fed Rate Cut Expectations
Bitcoin’s (BTC) ascent to an all-time high of $76,000 comes amid renewed bullish sentiment following Donald Trump’s recent U.S. presidential win. Crypto markets, buoyed by Trump’s pro-crypto stance, are also bolstered by speculation that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates, enhancing BTC’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.

Bitcoin’s Breakout: Record Highs Amid Renewed Crypto Optimism
BTC surged more than 6% in 24 hours, extending its 30-day rally to over 21%, with the market drawing parallels to the “Trump trade” that’s also energizing stocks and bonds. According to QCP Capital, this rally marks the third consecutive election cycle since Bitcoin’s inception that has been followed by significant new highs, with BTC prices yet to revert to pre-election levels.

Market Focus: Anticipation Builds Around Federal Reserve Rate Cuts
With Trump’s return to office, traders are keenly watching the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision. Analysts expect a modest 0.25% rate cut, a move that would likely support Bitcoin and other risk assets by increasing liquidity and weakening the dollar. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 97% probability of a quarter-point cut, with minimal odds for more aggressive easing.

Historically, lower rates have spurred growth in alternative assets like BTC as investors seek returns outside traditional savings. Min Jung, a research analyst at Presto Research, noted that “a 25bps cut is widely anticipated” due to signs of inflation and growth expectations spurred by Trump’s fiscal plans.

Potential Risks: Hawkish Signals Could Temper Market Optimism
While investors generally anticipate dovish guidance, any hint of a hawkish Fed stance could lead to market volatility. Insights from SOFA’s Augustine Fan suggest that if the Fed leans too hawkishly, the market may react unfavorably, especially given potential disruptions from bond supply increases tied to Trump’s policies.

Traders are also mindful of China’s possible responses to anticipated U.S. tariffs, which may include aggressive monetary easing to offset economic impacts. Such a move could influence BTC indirectly by affecting dollar strength and yield trends, heightening market dynamics across assets.

Technical Outlook: Bitcoin’s Path Forward
Bitcoin’s trajectory above $76,000 underscores growing confidence in a pro-crypto administration, with potential support from anticipated Fed policies. Should the Fed follow through on a rate cut, BTC may experience further upward momentum, with some analysts projecting levels above $80,000 by early 2025. For now, the market remains tuned into Powell’s press conference for hints about long-term rate strategies.