Yen's Losses Ease After Initial Spike Amid Japan's Political Uncertain

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The USD/JPY pair initially surged at the start of Monday’s trading, reaching as high as 153.23, largely due to uncertainty following Japan’s recent lower house election. However, the yen has since regained some ground, with USD/JPY slipping back to 152.90, though the pair remains up by 0.4% on the day.

Yen’s Losses Ease After Opening Spike Amid Political Uncertainty in Japan

Election Results and Market Reaction
The opening spike in USD/JPY stemmed from heightened concerns about Japan’s political landscape. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s leadership faced renewed scrutiny as his ruling coalition, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito, lost some ground, though they still appear likely to secure a majority coalition with smaller parties. This political uncertainty briefly intensified selling pressure on the yen as traders reacted to the evolving landscape.

Technical Perspective: Buyers Remain in Control
Despite the yen’s recovery, buyers still hold near-term control of USD/JPY, with the pair trading well above its 100-hour moving average, currently near 152.13. This level is a crucial support zone, and as long as it holds, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair remains bullish. The pullback from the opening gap suggests traders are tempering their reactions as the political dust settles, but this doesn’t materially alter the overall technical trend.

Outlook for USD/JPY
While political uncertainties have influenced yen pairs, the broader landscape isn’t expected to change drastically. Even as public frustration grows, Prime Minister Ishiba is likely to retain his position with a coalition majority after the upcoming vote on November 11. This anticipation has led to some fading in USD/JPY’s earlier gains, but as it stands, bullish momentum is intact pending further developments in Japan’s political landscape.